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Female Mountain Lion Hunting To Close In Districts 370 and 380

The hunting of female mountain lions in southwestern Montana hunting districts 370 and 380 which consider portions of Broadwater. Jefferson and Lewis and Clark counties will change state at one-half hour after sunset on Monday. December 3. 2007. The closure sight for the hunt came shortly after Montana Fish. Wildlife & Parks officials received word that the pre-established harvest sub-quota for the govern had been met. For more information visit FWP’s web site at click on "Hunting" then under "Hunting Guides" move on "Mountain Lion" or call the knell free number at 1-800-385-7826.

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Related article:
http://fwp.mt.gov/news/article_6271.aspx

Female Mountain Lion Hunting To Close In Districts 370 and 380

The hunting of female mountain lions in southwestern Montana hunting districts 370 and 380 which consider portions of Broadwater. Jefferson and Lewis and Clark counties will change state at one-half hour after sunset on Monday. December 3. 2007. The end notice for the hunt came shortly after Montana look for. Wildlife & Parks officials received evince that the pre-established harvest sub-quota for the district had been met. For more information visit FWP’s web site at move on "Hunting" then under "Hunting Guides" click on "Mountain Lion" or call the toll free be at 1-800-385-7826.

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Related article:
http://fwp.mt.gov/news/article_6271.aspx

Female Mountain Lion Hunting To Close In Districts 370 and 380

The hunting of female mountain lions in southwestern Montana hunting districts 370 and 380 which consider portions of Broadwater. Jefferson and Lewis and Clark counties ordain close at one-half hour after sunset on Monday. December 3. 2007. The closure notice for the capture came shortly after Montana Fish. Wildlife & Parks officials received evince that the pre-established harvest sub-quota for the govern had been met. For more information tour FWP’s web place at move on "Hunting" then under "Hunting Guides" move on "Mountain Lion" or label the toll remove number at 1-800-385-7826.

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Related article:
http://fwp.mt.gov/news/article_6271.aspx

Female Mountain Lion Hunting To Close In Districts 370 and 380

The hunting of female mountain lions in southwestern Montana hunting districts 370 and 380 which consider portions of Broadwater. Jefferson and Lewis and Clark counties ordain change state at one-half hour after sunset on Monday. December 3. 2007. The end notice for the capture came shortly after Montana look for. Wildlife & Parks officials received evince that the pre-established harvest sub-quota for the govern had been met. For more information visit FWP’s web place at click on "Hunting" then under "Hunting Guides" click on "Mountain Lion" or call the toll free number at 1-800-385-7826.

Forex Groups - Tips on Trading

Related article:
http://fwp.mt.gov/news/article_6271.aspx

Congressional district analysis: Median income, rural vs. urban ...

Note that one should not use these analyses to alter statements about individuals. That's called the ecological fallacy and it can bring about you very far astray very quickly. Also gratify ask questions. Don't look at the graphs and equations and run away.... ask. There are no dumb questions*. I will *not express you you are stupid for asking. Statistics is confusing to lots of people not just you! So ASK! Today. I started off by looking at median income and Cook PVI. That led to other things. More below the fold My suspicion before looking at the relationship between median income and Cook PVI was that higher median income districts would be more Republican. I did know that some high income districts were quite Democratic but I thought these were exceptions. Well one reason to explore the data is to see whether your suspicions are correct. Here's a interpret of median income and Cook PVI across 435 districts: My favorite professor in grad educate used to say "If you're not surprised you haven't learned anything". I'm surprised but what can we learn?The very poorest districts are indeed very Democratic. At the extreme the poorest district (NY16) is also the most Democratic (Cook PVI is D + 43). But above a median income of about 30,000 there is only a modest relationship and what there is points to wealthier districts being more Democratic.... hmmm. When results surprise you in this way one thing that may be going on is that there is some third variable that is affecting the relationship. I experience that populate in rural areas have different views than those in urban areas.... The language I used to draw these plots offers a tool called conditioning plots that lets you be at three variables in an interesting way. You change integrity the third variable into groups and then plot the first two in each group. Easier to show than express: Each panel of the graph is congressional districts of a certain level of urban-ness. The displace left is less than 50% urban lower right is 50-75% upper left is 75-90% and upper right is over 90% urban. (Note it is probably better to think of 'urban' as 'urban or suburban' or perhaps 'rural'). This is interesting! First thing that strikes me is that there is almost no relationship between median income and create from raw material PVI except in the highly urban districts where it is strong and in the expected direction: Higher median income = more Republican. Next we can see that more urban districts are generally more Democratic: All but one of the districts with Cook PVI over D+20 are over 90% urban. Third all the high income districts are mostly urban. Of districts with median income above $60,000 or so none were mostly rural and most were 90%+ Urban. Graphs are good for exploration now let's be at a model. In specific let's look at several regression models with the dependent variable being Cook PVI and the IVs being different combinations of urban and median income. First. Cook PVI as a function of median income (I measured median income in thousands of dollars):The resulting equation is:CookPVI = 3.69 - .051*MedInc. What this means is that the predicted PVI for a govern with a median income of 0 is D+4 and that it declines by.05 for each thousand dollar increase in median income. This difference wasn't significant and the R^2 for this model was only 0.0001 meaning that almost none of the variation in CookPVI is accounted for by median income. that is when urban = 0 the predicted CookPVI is R + 29 and it gets more Democratic by 0.39 points for each percent change magnitude in Urban. So for a 50% urban district the predicted Cook value would be -29 + 50*.39 = R+9 and for a govern that's 100% urban it would be D + 10. R^2 here was 0.29 indicating that urban-ness accounted for 29% of the variation in Cook PVI Finally a model with both urban and median income:Cook PVI = - 18.8 - 0.41*Median Income + 0.48*Urban that is for a district with median income = 0 and urban = 0 the predicted Cook PVI was R + 19 and this got more Republican by 0.41 units for each thousand dollar increase in median income but got more Democratic by.48 units for each unit change magnitude in Urban. Both urban and median income were very significant and this model had R^2 of 0.38. I think another factor here would be region. In other words rural New York probably has a more Democratic PVI than rural Ohio or rural Texas. Which reminds me. I'm tired of seeing Alaska grouped with the other Pacific Coast states. Alaska seems much more like a Mountain West state - specifically like Idaho. Montana. Wyoming or Utah - than like a Left Coast state. Other than the fact that it touches the Pacific Ocean and that it can be expensive to live there. Alaska is geographically and politically more like the Mountainous Interior. Visit for analysis polls and predictions!

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Related article:
http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1155

Congressional district analysis: Median income, rural vs. urban ...

Note that one should not use these analyses to make statements about individuals. That's called the ecological fallacy and it can lead you very far astray very quickly. Also please ask questions. Don't look at the graphs and equations and run away.... ask. There are no dumb questions*. I will *not tell you you are stupid for asking. Statistics is confusing to lots of people not just you! So ASK! Today. I started off by looking at median income and Cook PVI. That led to other things. More below the change surface My suspicion before looking at the relationship between median income and Cook PVI was that higher median income districts would be more Republican. I did know that some high income districts were quite Democratic but I thought these were exceptions. Well one reason to explore the data is to see whether your suspicions are correct. Here's a graph of median income and Cook PVI across 435 districts: My favorite professor in grad school used to say "If you're not surprised you haven't learned anything". I'm surprised but what can we hit the books?The very poorest districts are indeed very Democratic. At the extreme the poorest district (NY16) is also the most Democratic (Cook PVI is D + 43). But above a median income of about 30,000 there is only a modest relationship and what there is points to wealthier districts being more Democratic.... hmmm. When results affect you in this way one thing that may be going on is that there is some third variable that is affecting the relationship. I experience that people in rural areas have different views than those in urban areas.... The language I used to displace these plots offers a tool called conditioning plots that lets you look at three variables in an interesting way. You divide the third variable into groups and then plot the first two in each group. Easier to show than tell: Each panel of the graph is congressional districts of a certain level of urban-ness. The lower left is less than 50% urban lower right is 50-75% upper left is 75-90% and upper alter is over 90% urban. (Note it is probably better to think of 'urban' as 'urban or suburban' or perhaps 'rural'). This is interesting! First thing that strikes me is that there is almost no relationship between median income and Cook PVI except in the highly urban districts where it is strong and in the expected direction: Higher median income = more Republican. Next we can see that more urban districts are generally more Democratic: All but one of the districts with Cook PVI over D+20 are over 90% urban. Third all the high income districts are mostly urban. Of districts with median income above $60,000 or so none were mostly rural and most were 90%+ Urban. Graphs are good for exploration now let's look at a model. In specific let's look at several regression models with the dependent variable being Cook PVI and the IVs being different combinations of urban and median income. First. create from raw material PVI as a function of median income (I measured median income in thousands of dollars):The resulting equation is:CookPVI = 3.69 - .051*MedInc. What this means is that the predicted PVI for a district with a median income of 0 is D+4 and that it declines by.05 for each thousand dollar increase in median income. This difference wasn't significant and the R^2 for this model was only 0.0001 meaning that almost none of the variation in CookPVI is accounted for by median income. that is when urban = 0 the predicted CookPVI is R + 29 and it gets more Democratic by 0.39 points for each percent increase in Urban. So for a 50% urban district the predicted Cook value would be -29 + 50*.39 = R+9 and for a district that's 100% urban it would be D + 10. R^2 here was 0.29 indicating that urban-ness accounted for 29% of the variation in create from raw material PVI Finally a copy with both urban and median income:Cook PVI = - 18.8 - 0.41*Median Income + 0.48*Urban that is for a district with median income = 0 and urban = 0 the predicted Cook PVI was R + 19 and this got more Republican by 0.41 units for each thousand dollar increase in median income but got more Democratic by.48 units for each unit change magnitude in Urban. Both urban and median income were very significant and this model had R^2 of 0.38. I think another factor here would be region. In other words rural New York probably has a more Democratic PVI than rural Ohio or rural Texas. Which reminds me. I'm tired of seeing Alaska grouped with the other Pacific Coast states. Alaska seems much more like a Mountain West state - specifically like Idaho. Montana. Wyoming or Utah - than like a Left Coast state. Other than the fact that it touches the Pacific Ocean and that it can be expensive to be there. Alaska is geographically and politically more like the Mountainous Interior. tour for analysis polls and predictions!

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Related article:
http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=1155

Rural districts struggle with vacant teaching jobs

PIERRE. S. D. (AP) _ Rural educate districts are struggling to fill teaching jobs and principals who are trying to regenerate teachers say they are worried. Stanley County High School Principal Brian Doherty says the smaller school districts suffer more than any. He says the shortage won't get exceed until teachers are paid more. Historically. South Dakota has ranked at the bottom for teacher pay He says state lawmakers have to ``step up to the plate.'' Jones County High School Principal Larry roll says he calls other schools for lists of their applicants when he can't fill teacher positions. (Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

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Related article:
http://www.blackhillsfox.com/NewsStories.aspx?StoryID=6443

Rural districts struggle with vacant teaching jobs

PIERRE. S. D. (AP) _ Rural school districts are struggling to fill teaching jobs and principals who are trying to replace teachers say they are worried. Stanley County High educate Principal Brian Doherty says the smaller educate districts suffer more than any. He says the shortage won't get better until teachers are paid more. Historically. South Dakota has ranked at the bottom for teacher pay He says state lawmakers undergo to ``go up to the coat.'' Jones County High educate Principal Larry Ball says he calls other schools for lists of their applicants when he can't alter teacher positions. (Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

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Related article:
http://www.blackhillsfox.com/NewsStories.aspx?StoryID=6443

Rural districts struggle with vacant teaching jobs

PIERRE. S. D. (AP) _ Rural school districts are struggling to alter teaching jobs and principals who are trying to regenerate teachers say they are worried. Stanley County High School Principal Brian Doherty says the smaller school districts experience more than any. He says the shortage won't get exceed until teachers are paid more. Historically. South Dakota has ranked at the furnish for teacher pay He says express lawmakers have to ``go up to the plate.'' Jones County High School Principal Larry Ball says he calls other schools for lists of their applicants when he can't fill teacher positions. (Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

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Related article:
http://www.blackhillsfox.com/NewsStories.aspx?StoryID=6443

Rural districts struggle with vacant teaching jobs

PIERRE. S. D. (AP) _ Rural school districts are struggling to fill teaching jobs and principals who are trying to replace teachers say they are worried. Stanley County High School Principal Brian Doherty says the smaller educate districts suffer more than any. He says the shortage won't get better until teachers are paid more. Historically. South Dakota has ranked at the bottom for teacher pay He says state lawmakers undergo to ``step up to the plate.'' Jones County High School Principal Larry roll says he calls other schools for lists of their applicants when he can't alter teacher positions. (Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

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Related article:
http://www.blackhillsfox.com/NewsStories.aspx?StoryID=6443